Monday, November 30, 2009

trade on 30th at tokyo time

EUR USD -7pips
EUR USD +15pips
EUR USD +20pips

3 trades (2win 1lose) = + 28 pips

that's enough to get at least 10 pips a day,
So I already done for trading today at Tokyo Market time.
I will just see London and NY today.

see you tomorrow,
have a good trading :)


today&s strategy

USD JPY Short  87.20-40
Limit 86.00-15
Stop 88.00-15

EUR JPY Short  131.10-25
Limit 129.05-10
Stop 132.00-15

GBP JPY short  143.90-10
Limit 141.50-70
Stop 145.00-20

Sunday, November 29, 2009

Forecast Range and market of new week

USD JPY 85.33 ~ 88.60
Euro JPY 126 ~ 135


we have to focus these points in this week: 
US market 
Index, US Index mainly
Dubai Shock
Gold price
US Long-term interest rate
The end of the Year Market and Sells
Factor of the end of Nov and the beginning of Dec
FRB
ECB
RBA
Oil price
Beige Book



Date
Country
Time(Tokyo)
Index
Forecast
 Previous
  Max PIPS
  Ave.PIPS


11/30 (M)
(NZD)
06:45
Building Consents m/m
 N/A
3.3%
27
 18.7


(JPY)
08:50
Prelim Industrial Production m/m
2.5%
2.1%
 114
35.3


(CAD)
22:30
GDP m/m
 N/A
 -0.1%
 88
40


(USD)
23:45
Chicago PM I
 53.0
 54.2
 45
29


12/1 (T)
(AUD)
09:30
Building Approvals m/m
 2.0%
 2.7%
 26
 16.9


12:30
RBA Rate Statement
 3.75%
3.50%
160
 46.5


(USD)
24:00
ISM Manufacturing PMI
54.8
 55.7
 91
 34.9


12/2 (W)
(USD)
22:15
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
-155K
-203K
141
 32.6


28:00
Beige Book
 24
 24


12/3 (Th)
(AUD)
10:30
Retail Sales m/m
0.3%
-0.2%
 52
27.4


(EUR)
21:45
Minimum Bid Rate
1.00%
1.00%
 118
61.5


22:30
ECB Press Conference




(USD)
22:30
Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies
 8.5%
 9.5%
 28
 19


24:00
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
 51.5
50.6
65
31.2


12/4 (F)
(CAD)
21:00
Employment Change
N/A
 -43.2K
122
 55.4


(USD)
22:30
Non-Farm Employment Change
 -118K
-190K
121
 61.6


(CAD)
24:00
Ivey PMI
N/A
 61.2
  85
 37



























Saturday, November 28, 2009

trade result on this week, on 11/23 to 11/27

Total 26 trades (14wins 12loses)  +115 pips

14 wins = 202 pips
12 losses = -87 pips

This week is getting much pips because of Friday morning.
Usually 20 to 40 pips (1:2 : win:lose) in a week is good result,
so this week trade is really something.

I do not care how much pips I get, but i care how much pips I lose,. I mean risk management is most important.  At least we use leverage, it is more important to get absolute + pips for day, week, month, year, decade, and life time than how much I get + pips with huge draw down.

Money → Money
Dubai Shock → UAE、EUR, GBP,  → JPY
USD → JPY, resource producing nation's currency, OIL, GOLD, and Commodity

For JPY, Please watch out intervention and rumor with fake, and do not forget not only Bank of Japan mistook intervention last time but also this time they have to prepare their own money. There is already this scenario normal people even do not know, we have to forecast and read this fixed game, then we could earn from market. :)

Friday, November 27, 2009

strategy on 11.27

I already done for trading today, but let's post strategy today;

USD/JPY
Short 86.60 80
C  85.30 50
LC 87.00 20

EUR/JPY
Short 130.20 40
C 128.30 40
LC 131.20 40

Money goes like this way right now;
UAE  → JPY 
USD → JPY Gold Sliver Oil and commodity

Don't just buy at the highest price = !

today's trade before tokyo time Cross JPY's slump!

today's no forecast range and strategy,
because of slump of currencies against cross JPY.

It has just been two hours since today's foreign exchange market started from wellington, NZ.
but I did not need 20 mins to earn 225,000 yen!.
It's sharp fall started at the begging of today,.
I trade after 8'o'clock in Tokyo.
I finish today's work about for 30 mins.
because price passed my trading point, I already done today's trade with profit.

USD/JPY already falls to 84.811, we have to be careful for intervene from the bank of Japan,. when it pasts 85.00.

Today's trade
AUD JPY Short  +15pips
NZD JPY S       +15pip
EUR JPY S       +15pip
USD JPY S       +15pip
CAD JPY S       +15pip
GBP USD S      +15pip
EUR USD S       -7pips

7 trade (6win, 1 loss) = 83 pips


today's trade after tokyo time


GBPUSD Short +15 pip
AUDUSD Short -7 pip

2 trade 1 win 1 lose = +8 pip

Trade on 11.26
Tokyo market time:  +17 pip (3-4)
London market time: +8pip (1-1)

Total: 25 pips (4wins 5loses)

Thursday, November 26, 2009

trade in the morning at tokyo market time on 11.26

CHF JPY Short 87.138  -7pip
EUR JPY Short 131.512 +15pip
CAD JPY Short 83.133  +15pip
GBP JPY Short 145.646 -7pip
USD JPY Short 87.213 -7pip
AUD JPY Short 80.929 +15pip
NZD JPY Short 63.622 -7pip

7 trades ( 3 wins 4  loses) = + 17 pip


Forecast Range and Stragedy 11.26

Stragedy on 26th:
USD/JPY
Short 87.80-90
C 87.00-10
LC 88.30-40
 
EUR/JPY
Short 132.70-80
C 131.60-70
LC 133.30-40

Forecast Range:

USD/JPY 86.97 88.89
EUR/USD 1.4881 1.5059
EUR/JPY 131.28 133.46
GBP/JPY 145.23 147.91
CHF/JPY 86.95 88.31
AUD/JPY 80.22 82.18
NZD/JPY 63.04 64.93

trade on 25th

EUR/JPY Short 132.013 +21pip
EUR/USD Long 1.48881 +21pip
AUD/JPY Short 81.003 -7pip
CHF/JPY Short 97.361 -7pip
AUD/USD Long 0.92547 -7pip

5 trades 2 wins 3 loses  +21pip

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

11.25

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////



■Recently Foreign exchange market trend&formula[EUR/USD&USD/JPY are main] 11/25



USD Short



USD/JPY steady trend



EUR/USD and USD straight are up trend because of weak USD and picking & choosing risk



caution for the end of year's market



▼Short USD → buy Gold & Oil



▼important to judge what kind of risk trend



・risk picking and choosing → Short USD ・ Short JPY・ Long other currency



・risk avoiding→Long USD・Long JPY・Short other currency



▼risk trend depends on NY DOW



・NY DOW up →risk picking and chooing



・NYDOW down→rick avoiding



▼US market interest rate



・US long tern bond up →Long USD (※ especially USD/JPY)



・US long term bond down→Short USD (※USD/JPY)



//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////



■Strady for today's trend■



end of the year's market after 26th, thanksgiving



Scalping and Day Trading are ok, but swing trading is necesarry to change mind because market goes to the end of year .



Stragedy of Swing trade: N/A



During the end of year, trade Day trading or Scalping



Stradedy of Scalping:



EUR/USD → check NY Dow and what kind of Risk trend



USD/JPY→ N/A . so trade EUR/USD, AUD/USD, and other Cross JPY

trade on 24th

USD/JPY 88.57 short → LC 88.65
GBP/JPY 146.33 short → LC 146.41
NZD/JPY 69.94 short → LC 65.03
3 Trades = - 24 pips

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

11.24 forecast range & stragedy

Range;

USD/JPY  88.51 89.40
EUR/USD 1.4862 1.5067
EUR/JPY 131.94 134.36
GBP/JPY  146.35 149.16
CHF/JPY 87.28 88.83
AUD/JPY 81.13 83.19
NZD/JPY  64.12 66.03

Stragedy:

EUR/JPY
Short 133.50-80
C 132.50-70
LC 134.10-30

GBP/JPY
Short 148.30-50
C 147.00-20
LC 149.30-50

*I do not take any responsivity for all your trade, Plesae trade for your own risk and responsivity.

trade on 11.23

USD/JPY Long 89.13 → 89.18 +5pip
EUR/USD Long 1.4935 → 1.4940  +5pip

Profit on 11/23
2 trades +10pip

Nov.24 2009

Today's main index

Time/Currency/Detail/Forecast/Previous
4:00am EUR German Ifo Business Climate 92.6 91.9
4:45am GBP Inflation Report Hearings
5:00am EUR Industrial New Orders m/m 0.7% 2.0%
8:30am USD Prelim GDP q/q 2.9% 3.5%
10:00am USD CB Consumer Confidence 47.6 47.7
10:35am GBP BOE Gov King Speaks
2:00pm USD FOMC Meeting Minutes

Market closing price (NY close) on 11/23

NY Dow 10450.95↑ +132.79
NASDAQ 2176.01↑ +29.97
CME N225 9530.00↑ -30.00
Gold 1164.70↑ +17.90
Oil 77.56↑ +0.09

JPY/Yen →89.0→
EUR/USD→1.496↑
GBP/USD→1.660↑
USD/CHF→1.009↓


EUR/YEN→133.1↑
GBP/YEN→147.8↑
CHF/YEN→88.1↑

CAD/YEN→84.2↑
AUD/YEN→82.2↑
NZD/YEN→65.2↑

EUR/GBP→0.901→
EUR/CHF→1.510→
GBP/CHF→1.676→

AUD/USD→0.923↑
AUD/NZD→1.260→


////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

■Recently Foreign exchange market trend&formula[EUR/USD&USD/JPY are main] 11/23

USD Short

USD/JPY steady trend

EUR/USD and USD straight are up trend because of weak USD and picking & choosing risk

caution for the end of year's market

▼Short USD → buy Gold & Oil

▼important to judge what kind of risk trend

・risk picking and choosing → Short USD ・ Short JPY・ Long other currency

・risk avoiding→Long USD・Long JPY・Short other currency

▼risk trend depends on NY DOW

・NY DOW up →risk picking and chooing

・NYDOW down→rick avoiding

▼US market interest rate

・US long tern bond up →Long USD (※ especially USD/JPY)

・US long term bond down→Short USD (※USD/JPY)

//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

■Strady for today's trend■

end of the year's market after 26th, thanksgiving

Scalping and Day Trading are ok, but swing trading is necesarry to change mind because market goes to the end of year .

Stragedy of Swing trade: N/A

During the end of year, trade Day trading or Scalping

Stradedy of Scalping:

EUR/USD → check NY Dow and what kind of Risk trend

USD/JPY→ N/A . so trade EUR/USD, AUD/USD, and other Cross JPY

Monday, November 23, 2009

11/23 range

Estimate Range 11/23
USD/JPY
88.30-89.45
EUR/USD
1.4840- 1.5030
EUR/JPY
132.80-131.55 133.90
GBP/JPY
147.05-149.50
CHF/JPY
87.00-88.50
AUD/JPY
80.60-82.20
NZD/JPY
64.00-65.95

11/23/2009

today's important index :

8:30am CAD Core Retail Sales m/m 0.4% 0.5%
8:30am CAD Retail Sales m/m 0.6% 0.8%

10:00am USD Existing Home Sales 5.72M 5.57M

\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\

Caution & Point etc:

causes at the beginning of next week and the end of the month

Tokyo Market is closed day for holiday

market at the end of the yaer after thanksgiving 10/26

a report on final accounts of US principal companies

other market trends (US stock, US interest rate, gold, ane oil are main )

a bit circumstance of US bonds in succession (Nov. 23th, 24th, 25th)

statement from financial authorities and VIP

profit take term from hedge funds for the end of year

\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\

Market closing price (NY close) on 11/20

NY Dow 10318.1 ↓ -14.28

NASDAQ 2146.04↓ -10.78

CME N225 9480.00↑ +20.00

Gold 1146.80↑ +4.90

Oil →76.72↓ -0.58

JPY/Yen →88.9 →

EUR/USD→1.486→

GBP/USD→1.650↓

USD/CHF→1.017→

EUR/YEN→132.1→

GBP/YEN→146.7↓

CHF/YEN→87.3→

CAD/YEN→83.0↓

AUD/YEN→81.2→

NZD/YEN→64.4↓

EUR/GBP→0.900↑

EUR/CHF→1.512→

GBP/CHF→1.679↓

AUD/USD→0.914→

AUD/NZD→1.262↑

\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\

■Trend on 11/20

[EUR/USD&USD/JPY are main]

From Tokyo and London time, dropping stock price leads trend of avoid risk, and trend goes to Long USD and Short JPY .

And when NY is open, avoiding risk trend goes faster, but it changes mild trend because of a rally NY DOW afternoon,

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

【Market Trend on 11/20】→ LONG JPY and LONG USD for avoid risk trend in Tokyo time →アavoid risk trend is stopped because Asia market stocks are weak. Buying USD, USD straight drooped → Nikkei's rally and US CME steady, avoid risk trend is mild → the begginging of London time, Short USD, adjustment for Tokyo's three days holiday (21 22 23) → the middle of London time, Long USD Long JPY → USD/JPY is weak but steady, USD Straight dropped, Cross JPY is dropped → CME is weak, Long USD・Long JPY, EUR/USD dropped by 1.480→Euro/USD 1.4800-1.5100 double notouch option ? →NYDOW minus open → a rally of NY DOW and Gold at NY afternoon, avoid risk trend is mild → USD straight is rally. Cross JPY is rally and rise → US long term bond interest rate is up →NY DOW rise, finally 14 dollar minus → Gold price is still highest price → oil price is drop cause of US stock weak

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

■Recently Foreign exchange market trend&formula[EUR/USD&USD/JPY are main] 11/23

USD Short

USD/JPY steady trend

EUR/USD and USD straight are up trend because of weak USD and picking & choosing risk

caution for the end of year's market

▼Short USD → buy Gold & Oil

▼important to judge what kind of risk trend

・risk picking and choosing → Short USD ・ Short JPY・ Long other currency

・risk avoiding→Long USD・Long JPY・Short other currency

▼risk trend depends on NY DOW

・NY DOW up →risk picking and chooing

・NYDOW down→rick avoiding

▼US market interest rate

・US long tern bond up →Long USD (※ especially USD/JPY)

・US long term bond down→Short USD (※USD/JPY)

//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

■Strady for today's trend■

end of the year's market after 26th, thanksgiving

Scalping and Day Trading are ok, but swing trading is necesarry to change mind because market goes to the end of year .

Stragedy of Swing trade: N/A

During the end of year, trade Day trading or Scalping

Stradedy of Scalping:

EUR/USD → check NY Dow and what kind of Risk trend

USD/JPY→ N/A . so trade EUR/USD, AUD/USD, and other Cross JPY

first one